Only 19 freshmen quarterbacks have more than 800 yards passing, all having played meaningful portions of at least five games. Of those, only six have winning records in the games they have played (highlighted). And of those six, only one has passed for more yardage than Heaps.
The numbers below only inlcude passing yardage and win/loss records, and I haven't seen most of these guys play, so this there are clearly other factors to consider as well. However, at a minimum, you would expect a freshman all-american QB to have had a winning record in his games. Here is the list:
Player, School G Yds Record
Aaron, Murray, Georgia 11 2580 (5-6)
Pete Thomas, CSU 11 2565 (3-8)
Corey Robinson, Troy 9 2553 (5-4)
Kolton, Browning, ULM 10 2141 (4-6)
Matt Shilz, Bowling Green 9 1941 (2-7)
David Pilandy, Houston 6 1733 (2-4) started last 6
Jake Heaps, BYU 9 1593 (5-4)
Ryan Williams, Memphis 10 1575 (1-9)
Danny O'Brien, Maryland 7 1571 (5-2) started last 7
Nathan Scheelhaase, Illinois 10 1482 (5-5)
Robert Boldin, Penn St 7 1350 (4-3) injured
Keith Wenning, Ball St 10 1349 (3-7)
Taylor Martinez, Nebraska 9 1328 (8-1) 957 yds, 12 TDs rushing
Tanner Price, Wake Forest 8 1125 (1-7)
Jordan Webb, Kansas 6 1114 (2-4) no longer starting
Chas Dodd, Rutgers 6 986 (2-4) started last 6
Tyler Bray, Tennessee 5 951 (2-3) started last 5
Chase Rettig, BC 5 855 (3-2) started last 5
Terrance Owens, Toledo 5 808 (2-3) started last 5
With two regular season games remaining for most teams and the bowl season, there is still a lot of ball to be played, but at this point it looks as if the honor will likely go to Taylor Marinez of Nebraska or Danny O'Brien of Maryland. However, a couple of solid performances, and a six game win streak to cap the season, could still put Heaps in the mix for freshman all-american.
A couple of other thoughts in looking at the stats:
- Either good teams don't start freshmen QB's or freshmen QB's haven't been able to carry their teams to vicory, but only about 30% of these teams have been able to get a winning record with the rookie QB.
- BYU fans can feel slightly better about their early season struggles in light of how others with inexperienced QBs have struggled as well.
- I have not pulled out the redshirt freshmen from this group... it would be interesting to see how Heaps compares with just the true freshmen.
Taylor Martinez is a lock for the Freshman AA QB.ReplyDelete
But, Heaps is making great progress and could end up AA in the future.
I thought Heaps played in every game this year? Are you not counting the Air Force game? I think that game has to count. His Int was a pivitol moment of the game that helped send all the momentum to Air Force.
Anyways, I think Kyle Van Noy will be BYU's Freshman All-American this year, and have said it repeatedly on my blog--BYU FOOTBALL TALK.
That's true that Heaps played in all of the games so far this season, so fair point, but since games started were not readily available, I have only used stats from games where the players stats show a meaningful participation in the game. If another QB had only thrown 6 passes in a game, I would not have included it, so the AF game was left out in order to keep it apples to apples.ReplyDelete
PS. Nice work on your blog--I guess you could say we are sister blogs?